Live Prediction Markets | PolySimulator

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $406.7M20 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Vol $212.1M20 outcomes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $270.5M20 outcomes

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli97%

Vol $4.6M1 outcomes

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3140%

Vol $2.6M1 outcomes

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%Delcy Rodríguez25%Frank Donovan0%Pete Hegseth0%Richard Grenell0%Evan Pettus0%Dan Caine0%Dinorah Figuera0%

Vol $86.5M8 outcomes

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 316%October 311%

Vol $938.5K2 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%Yes

Vol $72.2M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%October 311%

Vol $40.7M2 outcomes

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

1%Yes

Vol $66.3M

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Vol $32.9M20 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (096%1 (252%11 (2750%10 (2500%9 (2250%6 (1500%12+ (300+0%7 (1750%

Vol $38.5M8 outcomes

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona24%Real Madrid11%Inter Milan2%Atlético Madrid2%Borussia Dortmund1%Porto0%Lens0%Shakhtar Donetsk0%

Vol $32.8M8 outcomes

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane48%Lamine Yamal46%Kylian Mbappé3%Lionel Messi2%Rodri1%Ousmane Dembélé0%Michael Olise0%Erling Haaland0%

Vol $26.4M8 outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%Yes

Vol $43.6M

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers28%Milwaukee Brewers26%Tampa Bay Rays20%Chicago White Sox10%

Vol $6.3M4 outcomes

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%Steve Hilton4%Tom Steyer0%Alex Padilla0%Chad Bianco0%Kyle Langford0%Rick Caruso0%Nicole Shanahan0%

Vol $19.5M8 outcomes

Iran leader end of 2026?

Vol $36.5M20 outcomes

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3172%December 3150%November 3035%October 3122%October 1514%

Vol $7.8M5 outcomes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%Yes

Vol $35.7M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 996%October 1594%October 3183%November 1571%November 3067%December 3160%

Vol $2.8M6 outcomes

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 20276%December 31, 20262%

Vol $1.1M2 outcomes

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 316%

Vol $2.4M1 outcomes

F1 Constructors' Champion

Mercedes99%Ferrari1%McLaren0%Red Bull Racing0%

Vol $5.1M4 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%December 31, 20263%

Vol $24.3M2 outcomes

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

by December 31, 202730%by September 30, 202722%by June 30, 202718%by March 31, 20279%by December 31, 20263%

Vol $2.9M5 outcomes

Fed Decision in October?

No change82%25 bps increase18%25 bps decrease0%50+ bps increase0%50+ bps decrease0%

Vol $27.0M5 outcomes

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202723%December 3111%

Vol $5.4M2 outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%Yes

Vol $26.8M

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Casper Ruud0%

Vol $308.3K1 outcomes

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Vol $5.2M20 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%Yes

Vol $23.8M

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs23%Oklahoma City Thunder19%Philadelphia 76ers11%Miami Heat3%Houston Rockets2%Golden State Warriors1%Utah Jazz1%New Orleans Pelicans0%

Vol $7.1M8 outcomes

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 314%

Vol $2.5M1 outcomes

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps FC22%Nashville SC17%Charlotte FC3%Orlando City SC2%FC Cincinnati1%Columbus Crew0%San Diego FC0%Real Salt Lake0%

Vol $14.2M8 outcomes

EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal62%Manchester City21%Brighton2%Manchester United2%Brentford1%Hull City0%Tottenham0%Crystal Palace0%

Vol $11.9M8 outcomes

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3113%November 309%October 312%

Vol $4.2M3 outcomes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep66%R Senate, D House27%Republicans Sweep9%D Senate, R House1%2026 Balance of Power: Other0%

Vol $18.6M5 outcomes

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2%Yes

Vol $18.5M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%October 312%

Vol $2.4M2 outcomes

Vol $241.8K1 outcomes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic93%Republican8%

Vol $14.1M2 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,00080%↑ 95,00055%↑ 100,00037%↓ 70,00025%

Vol $7.7M4 outcomes

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%Yes

Vol $12.4M

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3114%October 316%

Vol $2.5M2 outcomes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $11.8M

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $10.9M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 20266%

Vol $1.8M1 outcomes

Looking for something else?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

F1 Drivers' Champion

Netanyahu out by...?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

MLB World Series Champion 2026

California Governor Election Winner

Iran leader end of 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

F1 Constructors' Champion

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Fed Decision in October?

Iran leadership change by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

NBA: 2027 Champion

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

MLS Cup Winner 2026

EPL: 2027 Champion

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by ___?