Live Prediction Markets | PolySimulator

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $408.3M20 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Vol $212.8M20 outcomes

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3138%

Vol $2.7M1 outcomes

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 316%October 311%

Vol $1.1M2 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%Yes

Vol $72.9M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%October 311%

Vol $41.3M2 outcomes

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

1%Yes

Vol $66.4M

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Vol $33.4M20 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (096%1 (252%11 (2750%10 (2500%9 (2250%6 (1500%12+ (300+0%7 (1750%

Vol $38.6M8 outcomes

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona23%Real Madrid11%Inter Milan2%Atlético Madrid2%Borussia Dortmund1%Porto1%Lens0%Shakhtar Donetsk0%

Vol $34.3M8 outcomes

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane55%Lamine Yamal37%Lionel Messi3%Kylian Mbappé3%Rodri1%Michael Olise0%Ousmane Dembélé0%Erling Haaland0%

Vol $27.7M8 outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%Yes

Vol $43.8M

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%Steve Hilton4%Tom Steyer0%Alex Padilla0%Chad Bianco0%Kyle Langford0%Rick Caruso0%Nicole Shanahan0%

Vol $19.6M8 outcomes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

2%Yes

Vol $35.7M

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 999%October 1593%October 3180%November 1571%November 3064%December 3157%

Vol $3.3M6 outcomes

Fed Decision in October?

No change85%25 bps increase16%25 bps decrease0%50+ bps increase0%50+ bps decrease0%

Vol $30.9M5 outcomes

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 20276%December 31, 20263%

Vol $1.1M2 outcomes

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 316%

Vol $2.4M1 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%December 31, 20264%

Vol $25.2M2 outcomes

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

by December 31, 202742%by September 30, 202716%by June 30, 202713%by March 31, 20279%by December 31, 20263%

Vol $2.9M5 outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

5%Yes

Vol $27.0M

NBA: 2027 Champion

San Antonio Spurs23%Oklahoma City Thunder19%Philadelphia 76ers11%Miami Heat4%Houston Rockets2%Utah Jazz1%Golden State Warriors1%New Orleans Pelicans0%

Vol $7.3M8 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%Yes

Vol $23.9M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 313%

Vol $2.6M1 outcomes

EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal61%Manchester City20%Brighton2%Manchester United2%Brentford1%Hull City0%Tottenham0%Crystal Palace0%

Vol $11.9M8 outcomes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%R Senate, D House28%Republicans Sweep9%D Senate, R House1%

Vol $18.4M4 outcomes

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%November 308%October 313%

Vol $4.4M3 outcomes

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2%Yes

Vol $18.5M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%October 311%

Vol $2.4M2 outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%October 318%

Vol $2.7M2 outcomes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%Marco Rubio15%Tucker Carlson3%Ron DeSantis3%Ted Cruz2%Donald Trump2%Donald Trump Jr.2%Ivanka Trump1%

Vol $103.8M8 outcomes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic91%Republican10%

Vol $15.5M2 outcomes

Vol $242.2K1 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,00066%↑ 95,00043%↓ 70,00036%↑ 100,00030%

Vol $7.9M4 outcomes

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%Yes

Vol $12.5M

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $11.8M

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $10.9M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 20265%

Vol $1.8M1 outcomes

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3124%October 317%

Vol $544.5K2 outcomes

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot44%Benjamin Netanyahu37%Naftali Bennett10%Avigdor Lieberman2%Yossi Cohen0%Yair Golan0%Amir Ohana0%Gideon Sa’ar0%

Vol $26.9M8 outcomes

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 20267%

Vol $336.4K1 outcomes

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%June 30, 202727%March 31, 202725%December 316%

Vol $253.7K4 outcomes

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3123%October 319%

Vol $3.9M2 outcomes

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202769%November 30, 202767%October 31, 202763%September 30, 202762%August 31, 202757%July 31, 202754%June 30, 202751%May 31, 202747%April 30, 202736%March 31, 202733%February 28, 202726%January 31, 202723%

Vol $571.8K12 outcomes

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1290%October 1587%October 3174%November 1556%November 3042%December 3134%October 999%

Vol $3.7M7 outcomes

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 202745%June 30, 202720%December 31, 20268%

Vol $832.8K3 outcomes

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer23%Caleb Wilson22%Zuby Ejiofor3%Ebuka Okorie1%Allen Graves1%Chris Cenac Jr.0%Tarris Reed Jr.0%Christian Anderson0%

Vol $7.1M8 outcomes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 313%

Vol $861.5K1 outcomes

Looking for something else?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Netanyahu out by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

California Governor Election Winner

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Fed Decision in October?

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

NBA: 2027 Champion

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

EPL: 2027 Champion

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?