Live Prediction Markets | PolySimulator

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $428.9M20 outcomes

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen38%Édouard Philippe25%Ségolène Royal0%Xavier Bertrand0%Olivier Faure0%Mathilde Panot0%François Bayrou0%François Asselineau0%

Vol $40.8M8 outcomes

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 316%September 301%

Vol $1.9M2 outcomes

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%September 300%

Vol $44.6M2 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%Yes

Vol $67.1M

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

2%Yes

Vol $65.8M

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Vol $35.6M20 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (096%11 (2750%10 (2500%9 (2250%6 (1500%12+ (300+0%7 (1750%8 (2000%

Vol $38.0M8 outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%Yes

Vol $42.3M

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra94%Steve Hilton6%Tom Steyer0%Alex Padilla0%Chad Bianco0%Kyle Langford0%Rick Caruso0%Nicole Shanahan0%

Vol $18.9M8 outcomes

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot52%Benjamin Netanyahu28%Naftali Bennett9%Avigdor Lieberman5%Yossi Cohen0%Yair Golan0%Amir Ohana0%Gideon Sa’ar0%

Vol $21.8M8 outcomes

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Barcelona20%Real Madrid13%Inter Milan3%Borussia Dortmund1%Real Betis1%Lens0%RB Leipzig0%Shakhtar Donetsk0%

Vol $24.5M8 outcomes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

3%Yes

Vol $35.5M

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 20276%December 31, 20263%

Vol $1.1M2 outcomes

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3095%October 3184%November 3073%December 3168%

Vol $3.8M4 outcomes

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 315%September 300%

Vol $2.5M2 outcomes

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3159%October 3134%September 309%

Vol $6.8M3 outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%Yes

Vol $26.1M

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202713%December 31, 20265%September 30, 20260%

Vol $23.6M3 outcomes

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Vol $15.6M20 outcomes

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro57%Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva43%Renan Santos1%Tarcisio de Freitas0%Eduardo Bolsonaro0%Ratinho Júnior0%Michelle Bolsonaro0%Eduardo Leite0%

Vol $89.5M8 outcomes

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 315%

Vol $2.5M1 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

8%Yes

Vol $22.0M

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Vol $15.1M20 outcomes

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)77%New People (NL)21%Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)0%A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%Yabloko0%Rodina0%Civic Platform (GP)0%

Vol $37.0M8 outcomes

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $18.3M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%October 312%

Vol $2.3M2 outcomes

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3111%November 305%October 313%September 300%

Vol $4.7M4 outcomes

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Spider-Man: Brand New Day94%Scream 70%Wuthering Heights0%Wicked: For Good0%Project Hail Mary0%Michael0%Jumanji 30%The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0%

Vol $12.8M8 outcomes

EPL: 2027 Champion

Arsenal56%Manchester City31%Chelsea2%Hull City1%Tottenham0%Brentford0%Newcastle United0%Crystal Palace0%

Vol $9.1M8 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%Jon Ossoff12%Marco Rubio10%Gavin Newsom8%Kamala Harris5%Josh Shapiro3%Pete Buttigieg3%

Vol $91.5M8 outcomes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance51%Marco Rubio15%Tucker Carlson4%Ron DeSantis3%Donald Trump2%Ted Cruz2%Donald Trump Jr.2%Ivanka Trump1%

Vol $102.9M8 outcomes

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass63%Nithya Raman37%

Vol $2.7M2 outcomes

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3119%October 3110%September 302%

Vol $4.8M3 outcomes

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%Yes

Vol $13.6M

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 85,00081%↑ 90,00061%↓ 70,00047%↑ 95,00039%↓ 65,00028%↑ 100,00027%

Vol $7.4M6 outcomes

Strait Of Hormuz Traffic Returns To Normal

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by D...18%Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by S...1%

Vol $20.9M2 outcomes

Vol $2.1M4 outcomes

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

8%Yes

Vol $10.7M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 20265%September 30, 20260%

Vol $3.3M2 outcomes

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3125%September 307%

Vol $1.2M2 outcomes

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 202612%September 300%

Vol $1.3M2 outcomes

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?