Live Prediction Markets | PolySimulator

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Vol $406.7M20 outcomes

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 316%October 311%

Vol $938.5K2 outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%Yes

Vol $72.2M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%October 311%

Vol $40.7M2 outcomes

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

1%Yes

Vol $66.3M

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Vol $32.9M20 outcomes

Vol $2.8M6 outcomes

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 20276%December 31, 20262%

Vol $1.1M2 outcomes

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 316%

Vol $2.4M1 outcomes

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%December 31, 20263%

Vol $24.3M2 outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%Yes

Vol $26.8M

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Vol $5.2M20 outcomes

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%Yes

Vol $23.8M

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 314%

Vol $2.5M1 outcomes

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3113%November 309%October 312%

Vol $4.2M3 outcomes

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2%Yes

Vol $18.5M

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%October 312%

Vol $2.4M2 outcomes

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%Jon Ossoff10%Marco Rubio9%Gavin Newsom8%Kamala Harris5%Josh Shapiro3%Pete Buttigieg3%

Vol $92.9M8 outcomes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance50%Marco Rubio15%Tucker Carlson3%Ron DeSantis3%Ted Cruz2%Donald Trump2%Donald Trump Jr.2%Ivanka Trump1%

Vol $103.6M8 outcomes

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%Yes

Vol $14.4M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

19%Yes

Vol $14.2M

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 313%

Vol $241.8K1 outcomes

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↑ 90,00080%↑ 95,00055%↑ 100,00037%↓ 70,00027%

Vol $7.7M4 outcomes

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%Yes

Vol $12.4M

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3114%October 316%

Vol $2.5M2 outcomes

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $11.8M

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%Yes

Vol $10.9M

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 20266%

Vol $1.8M1 outcomes

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3120%October 316%

Vol $501.6K2 outcomes

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%Benjamin Netanyahu36%Naftali Bennett9%Avigdor Lieberman2%Yossi Cohen0%Yair Golan0%Amir Ohana0%Gideon Sa’ar0%

Vol $26.1M8 outcomes

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (096%1 (252%11 (2750%10 (2500%9 (2250%6 (1500%12+ (300+0%7 (1750%

Vol $38.5M8 outcomes

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 20267%

Vol $336.4K1 outcomes

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane48%Lamine Yamal46%Kylian Mbappé2%Lionel Messi2%Rodri1%Ousmane Dembélé0%Michael Olise0%Erling Haaland0%

Vol $26.4M8 outcomes

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic93%Republican8%

Vol $14.0M2 outcomes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 313%

Vol $861.4K1 outcomes

Fed Decision in October?

No change81%25 bps increase18%25 bps decrease0%50+ bps increase0%50+ bps decrease0%

Vol $27.0M5 outcomes

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 3111%

Vol $5.4M1 outcomes

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep66%R Senate, D House27%Republicans Sweep9%D Senate, R House1%

Vol $16.4M4 outcomes

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%October 316%

Vol $702.7K2 outcomes

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M14%$100M13%$300M11%$500M10%$1B9%$2B5%$5B3%$3B3%

Vol $6.8M8 outcomes

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M96%$100M93%$200M90%$300M87%$400M78%$500M72%$600M59%$800M51%$1B38%$1.5B28%$2B21%

Vol $6.8M11 outcomes

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%No Head of State6%Reza Pahlavi3%Alireza Arafi1%Hassan Rouhani1%Mahmoud Ahmadinejad0%Masoud Pezeshkian0%Abbas Araghchi0%

Vol $14.8M8 outcomes

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3172%December 3150%November 3035%October 3122%October 1513%

Vol $7.8M5 outcomes

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

Los Angeles Rams19%San Francisco 49ers18%Seattle Seahawks14%Chicago Bears8%Dallas Cowboys7%Minnesota Vikings7%Philadelphia Eagles6%Detroit Lions5%Atlanta Falcons3%Green Bay Packers3%New Orleans Saints2%Carolina Panthers2%Tampa Bay Buccaneers1%New York Giants1%Washington Commanders1%Arizona Cardinals0%

Vol $6.4M16 outcomes

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 798%October 996%October 1291%October 1587%October 3173%November 1553%November 3042%December 3136%October 5100%

Vol $2.6M9 outcomes

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 313%

Vol $1.3M1 outcomes

Russia nuclear test by...?

December 31, 20265%

Vol $121.7K1 outcomes

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic65%Republican36%

Vol $5.9M2 outcomes

Looking for something else?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Iran full airspace closure by...?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Fed Decision in October?

US military action against Cuba by...?

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Iran leader end of 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Russia nuclear test by...?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?