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Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

PolySimulator
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Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Last updated: …Volume: $645.1KResolved
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Fed rate cut by...?View Event →
September 2026 MeetingEndedDecember 2026 Meeting4%October 2026 Meeting1%January 2027 Meeting7%March 2027 Meeting22%April 2027 Meeting30%June 2027 Meeting36%July 2027 Meeting54%
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Market Details

Condition ID
StatusResolved
OutcomesYes / No
ResolvedNo
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no September meeting takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Market Resolved

The winning outcome is

No

Trading is disabled for this market as it has reached its final resolution. All winning positions have been settled at $1.00 per share.

View your settlement history
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✓

Market Resolved

The winning outcome is

No

Trading is disabled for this market as it has reached its final resolution. All winning positions have been settled at $1.00 per share.

View your settlement history