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Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?

PolySimulator
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Markets

Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?

Last updated: …Volume: $102.44
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Fed rate cut by...?View Event →
December 2026 Meeting3%October 2026 Meeting1%January 2027 Meeting10%March 2027 Meeting22%April 2027 Meeting43%June 2027 Meeting44%July 2027 Meeting50%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2027, currently scheduled for July 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 59¢ wide — Yes is 50% implied.

$

≈ 12.66 shares at 79¢/share

Market price50¢
Est. you pay79¢
Est. shares12.66
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.30
Potential payout$12.66
Potential profit$2.66
Est. fee: $0.16 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 59¢ wide — Yes is 50% implied.

$

≈ 12.66 shares at 79¢/share

Market price50¢
Est. you pay79¢
Est. shares12.66
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.30
Potential payout$12.66
Potential profit$2.66
Est. fee: $0.16 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket