Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?

Markets

Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?

Last updated:
View on Polymarket
Loading chart...

Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2027, currently scheduled for March 16 to 17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Panel

Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 13¢ wide — Yes is 22% implied.

$

35.71 shares at 28¢/share

Market price22¢
Est. you pay29¢
Est. shares35.71
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.57
Potential payout$35.71
Potential profit$25.71
Est. fee: $0.30 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket