PolySimulator
CryptoPoliticsSportsTechWorldEntertainmentMarketsMacroScienceWeatherMentions
Learn TradingPaper Trading GuideAPI TradingAPI ConsoleAPI KeysBacktestingFeature RoadmapDeveloper BlogFeedback & RequestsAbout
Profit CalculatorFAQContact
👑Leaderboard
Browse AllCalendarTrackingTelegram

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?

PolySimulator
CryptoPoliticsSportsTechWorldEntertainmentMarketsMacroScienceWeatherMentions
Learn TradingPaper Trading GuideAPI TradingAPI ConsoleAPI KeysBacktestingFeature RoadmapDeveloper BlogFeedback & RequestsAbout
Profit CalculatorFAQContact
👑Leaderboard
Browse AllCalendarTrackingTelegram
Markets
Hot

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?

Last updated: …Volume: $166.5K
View on Polymarket
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?View Event →
September 301%October 3122%
Loading chart...
Loading chart...

Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, a Cabinet member, an agency or department legally authorized to take such action, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces a ban on the export of diesel from the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a "ban on the export of diesel" means a prohibition on the exportation of diesel fuel (distillate fuel oil) from the United States, whether imposed on all exports or on substantially all exports. A restriction, quota, tariff, licensing requirement, destination-specific ban, or other limitation short of an export prohibition will not qualify unless it operates as a general prohibition on diesel exports. A prohibition may qualify whether it is temporary or permanent, provided the announcement clearly communicates a prohibition on diesel exports. A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the U.S. government's present implementation of, previously-unannounced prior implementation of, or definitive decision to implement a ban on the export of diesel. A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify a ban on the export of diesel. Statements that merely allude to, reference, or describe such a ban, without clearly communicating it, do not qualify. The announcement need not use specific terminology or reference the ban by name, provided the substance of a prohibition on diesel exports is clearly and unambiguously communicated. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. An announcement by the U.S. government that it accepts or agrees to an agreement, framework, or roadmap that includes a commitment to ban diesel exports qualifies only if (i) all parties whose acceptance is required for the agreement to take effect have accepted the agreement, or (ii) the announcement independently communicates the ban as a present and decided position of the United States, not contingent on acceptance by any other party. The following do not qualify as official announcements: Anonymous, unattributed, or leaked statements not confirmed as official; Statements by persons not authorized to speak for the U.S. government; Third-party speculation, analysis, or predictions that the United States will announce or implement such a ban; Satirical, fabricated, hacked, or impersonated communications; Statements that describe a prospective, contingent, probable, or conditional implementation of such a ban rather than announcing a present and decided position. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later reversed, or whether a ban on diesel exports is ever actually implemented. Resolution will be based on official information from the U.S. government or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade

$

≈ 714.29 shares at 1¢/share

Market price1¢
Est. shares714.29
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.69
Potential payout$714.29
Potential profit$704.29
Est. fee: $0.39 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
PolySimulator

The flight simulator for prediction markets. Practice trading with real odds and zero risk.

X (Twitter)TelegramDiscordLinkedIn

Paper Trading Only

This site is for educational purposes. Virtual currency used here has no money value. Not affiliated with Polymarket or Kalshi.

Learn

Paper Trading GuidePaper Trading FAQAPI TradingBacktestingFeature Roadmap

Company

AboutCompanyContactLeaderboardBlog

Legal

Privacy PolicyTerms of ServicePolymarket by CountryImprint
Google Sign-In: PolySimulator uses Google Sign-In only to create and secure your account. We receive basic profile data (name, email, account ID) for authentication only. Privacy Policy

© 2026 PolySimulator. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsStatus
Trade Panel

Trade

$

≈ 714.29 shares at 1¢/share

Market price1¢
Est. shares714.29
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.69
Potential payout$714.29
Potential profit$704.29
Est. fee: $0.39 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket