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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026?

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Markets

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 14, 2026?

Last updated: …Volume: $307.18
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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?View Event →
September 71%September 80%September 90%September 100%September 111%September 121%September 130%September 140%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Trade

$

≈ 2500.00 shares at 0¢/share

Market price0¢
Est. you pay1¢
Est. shares2500.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$26.25
Potential payout$2500.00
Potential profit$2490.00
Est. fee: $0.25 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
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Trade Panel

Trade

$

≈ 2500.00 shares at 0¢/share

Market price0¢
Est. you pay1¢
Est. shares2500.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$26.25
Potential payout$2500.00
Potential profit$2490.00
Est. fee: $0.25 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket