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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?

Last updated: …Volume: $22.2K
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14View Event →
September 15, 202615%September 19, 202664%September 26, 202664%September 30, 202687%October 31, 202694%Successful splash down?87%Super Heavy booster explodes?84%Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?5%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 8.2¢ wide — Yes is 87% implied.

$

≈ 11.00 shares at 91¢/share

Market price87¢
Est. you pay91¢
Est. shares11.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.23
Potential payout$11.00
Potential profit$1.00
Est. fee: $0.05 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 8.2¢ wide — Yes is 87% implied.

$

≈ 11.00 shares at 91¢/share

Market price87¢
Est. you pay91¢
Est. shares11.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.23
Potential payout$11.00
Potential profit$1.00
Est. fee: $0.05 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket