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Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

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Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?

Last updated: …Volume: $30.5K
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How many Israeli elections before government formed?View Event →
02%164%234%33%40%5+0%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier. This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market. Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 5¢ wide — Yes is 64% implied.

$

≈ 11.21 shares at 89¢/share

Market price64¢
Est. you pay90¢ avg

Slippage protection: rejects fills above 91.0¢. Sizing allows for the worst case: $0.24 covers the fee and that price move, and is only spent if the fill lands there.

Est. shares11.21
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.24
Potential payout$11.21
Potential profit$1.21
Est. fee: $0.10 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 5¢ wide — Yes is 64% implied.

$

≈ 11.21 shares at 89¢/share

Market price64¢
Est. you pay90¢ avg

Slippage protection: rejects fills above 91.0¢. Sizing allows for the worst case: $0.24 covers the fee and that price move, and is only spent if the fill lands there.

Est. shares11.21
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.24
Potential payout$11.21
Potential profit$1.21
Est. fee: $0.10 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket