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Trump renames AI by October 31?

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Markets

Trump renames AI by October 31?

Last updated: …
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Trump renames AI by...?View Event →
September 30, 202630%October 31, 202663%December 31, 202763%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that adopts a new official name for artificial intelligence, or directs a federal agency or the federal government to adopt one, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must replace or supersede "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology itself. Any replacement name qualifies, including "Superior Intelligence", "Extreme Intelligence", "Supreme Intelligence", or "Genius Intelligence"; the name chosen has no bearing on resolution. An order that directs an agency to adopt or implement such a name within a stated period qualifies. Statements, speeches, interviews, press conferences, and social media posts, including polls posted to social media, do not count. Renaming a federal office, agency, program, task force, commission, or military service, such as an "AI Force", does not count unless the same action also renames the technology itself. Renaming a specific product, model, or private-sector system does not count. Incidental use of an alternative term in the text of an order, without a directive adopting it as the official designation, does not count. The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 15¢ wide — Yes is 63% implied.

$

≈ 14.29 shares at 70¢/share

Market price63¢
Est. you pay70¢
Est. shares14.29
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.32
Potential payout$14.29
Potential profit$4.29
Est. fee: $0.13 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
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Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 15¢ wide — Yes is 63% implied.

$

≈ 14.29 shares at 70¢/share

Market price63¢
Est. you pay70¢
Est. shares14.29
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.32
Potential payout$14.29
Potential profit$4.29
Est. fee: $0.13 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket