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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25?

Last updated: …Volume: $62.6K
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9:30AM-4PM ET
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesUp / Down
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, September 25, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Friday, September 25, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

How Up/Down Markets Work

Up/Down markets let you predict whether an asset finishes the interval higher or lower than the price it started at.

The Price to Beat is the asset price when the interval started. Polymarket settles the market by comparing it against a Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP), not the exact price at the moment time runs out. If that average finishes above the Price to Beat, "Up" wins; below it, "Down" wins. An exact tie resolves "Up".

See Resolution Criteria for the exact rule.

Prices are sourced from Polymarket's CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) and the starting price comes from the Gamma API or Chainlink oracles.

Trade

$

≈ 10.53 shares at 95¢/share

Market price94¢
Est. you pay95¢
Est. shares10.53
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.21
Potential payout$10.53
Potential profit$0.53
Est. fee: $0.02 • Finance 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade Panel

Trade

$

≈ 10.53 shares at 95¢/share

Market price94¢
Est. you pay95¢
Est. shares10.53
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.21
Potential payout$10.53
Potential profit$0.53
Est. fee: $0.02 • Finance 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket