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Fed rate hike in 2026?

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Markets
Hot

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Last updated: …Volume: $9.0M
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade

$

≈ 11.24 shares at 89¢/share

Market price89¢
Est. you pay89¢
Est. shares11.24
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.25
Potential payout$11.24
Potential profit$1.24
Est. fee: $0.06 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
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Trade Panel

Trade

$

≈ 11.24 shares at 89¢/share

Market price89¢
Est. you pay89¢
Est. shares11.24
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.25
Potential payout$11.24
Potential profit$1.24
Est. fee: $0.06 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket