Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

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Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?

Last updated: Volume: $155.6K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 10 12:00 PM ET to August 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Trade

$

10.01 shares at 100¢/share

Market price100¢
Est. shares10.01
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.00
Potential payout$10.01
Potential profit$0.01
Est. fee: $0.00 • Culture 5%

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Paper trading only — no real money

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