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Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?

PolySimulator
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Markets
Hot

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?

Last updated: …Volume: $40.3K
View on Polymarket
12PM-12PM ET
Price to BeatLoading…
BTC Price
$81,206.07via Polymarket RTDS Chainlink TWAP (60s)
Loading chart...
Loading chart...

Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesUp / Down
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

How Up/Down Markets Work

Up/Down markets let you predict whether an asset finishes the interval higher or lower than the price it started at.

The Price to Beat is the asset price when the interval started. Polymarket settles the market by comparing it against a Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP), not the exact price at the moment time runs out. If that average finishes above the Price to Beat, "Up" wins; below it, "Down" wins. An exact tie resolves "Up".

See Resolution Criteria for the exact rule.

Prices are sourced from Polymarket's CLOB (Central Limit Order Book) and the starting price comes from the Gamma API or Chainlink oracles.

Trade

$

≈ 21.28 shares at 47¢/share

Market price47¢
Est. you pay47¢
Est. shares21.28
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.58
Potential payout$21.28
Potential profit$11.28
Est. fee: $0.37 • Crypto 7%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket

No other intervals available right now.

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Trade Panel

Trade

$

≈ 21.28 shares at 47¢/share

Market price47¢
Est. you pay47¢
Est. shares21.28
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.58
Potential payout$21.28
Potential profit$11.28
Est. fee: $0.37 • Crypto 7%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket