Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

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Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Last updated: Volume: $356.7K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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434.78 shares at 2¢/share

Market price
Est. you pay3¢
Est. shares434.78
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.26
Potential payout$434.78
Potential profit$424.78
Est. fee: $0.00 • Geopolitics 0%

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