Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September?

Last updated: Volume: $29.4K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 8.9¢ wide — Yes is 93% implied.

$

10.28 shares at 97¢/share

Market price93¢
Est. you pay98¢
Est. shares10.28
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.21
Potential payout$10.28
Potential profit$0.28
Est. fee: $0.03 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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