Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Last updated: Volume: $67.4K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 12¢ wide — Yes is 28% implied.

$

29.41 shares at 34¢/share

Market price28¢
Est. you pay34¢
Est. shares29.41
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.47
Potential payout$29.41
Potential profit$19.41
Est. fee: $0.24 • Tech 4%

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