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Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?

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Markets

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?

Last updated: …Volume: $1.1K
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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?View Event →
August 31–September 61%September 7–September 135%September 14–September 207%September 21–September 277%September 28–October 420%October 5–October 113%October 12–October 1811%October 19–October 256%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 6¢ wide — Yes is 4% implied.

$

≈ 135.14 shares at 7¢/share

Market price4¢
Est. you pay8¢
Est. shares135.14
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.59
Potential payout$135.14
Potential profit$125.14
Est. fee: $0.23 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
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Trade

Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 6¢ wide — Yes is 4% implied.

$

≈ 135.14 shares at 7¢/share

Market price4¢
Est. you pay8¢
Est. shares135.14
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.59
Potential payout$135.14
Potential profit$125.14
Est. fee: $0.23 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket