Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Last updated: …Volume: $1.3K
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Market Details
Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Trade
Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 10¢ wide — Yes is 31% implied.
$
≈ 11.03 shares at 91¢/share
Market price31¢
Est. you pay91¢ avg
Slippage protection: rejects fills above 92.5¢. Sizing allows for the worst case: $0.20 covers the fee and that price move, and is only spent if the fill lands there.
Est. shares11.03
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.20
Potential payout$11.03
Potential profit$1.03
Est. fee: $0.00 • Geopolitics 0%
Paper trading only — no real money
View on PolymarketTrade Panel
Trade
Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 10¢ wide — Yes is 31% implied.
$
≈ 11.03 shares at 91¢/share
Market price31¢
Est. you pay91¢ avg
Slippage protection: rejects fills above 92.5¢. Sizing allows for the worst case: $0.20 covers the fee and that price move, and is only spent if the fill lands there.
Est. shares11.03
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.20
Potential payout$11.03
Potential profit$1.03
Est. fee: $0.00 • Geopolitics 0%
Paper trading only — no real money
View on Polymarket