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Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?

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Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?

Last updated: …Volume: $26.2KIn review
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?View Event →
November 13, 2026100%November 14, 2026100%November 15, 2026100%November 30, 2026100%Super Heavy booster explodes?100%Successful splash down?54%Chopsticks catch Starship?47%Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?0%
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Market Details

Condition ID
StatusIn review
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 15th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Trade

$

≈ 10.03 shares at 100¢/share

Market price100¢
Est. shares10.03
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.02
Potential payout$10.03
Potential profit$0.03
Est. fee: $0.00 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

$

≈ 10.03 shares at 100¢/share

Market price100¢
Est. shares10.03
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.02
Potential payout$10.03
Potential profit$0.03
Est. fee: $0.00 • Tech 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket