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Will “Tears” by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

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Markets

Will “Tears” by Sabrina Carpenter win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?

Last updated: …Volume: $4.4K
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VMA Video of the Year 2026View Event →
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)65%Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)23%Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)5%Storm (Gener8ion featuring Yung Lean)2%Tears (Sabrina Carpenter)1%I Just Might (Bruno Mars)1%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year. If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade

$

≈ 1250.00 shares at 1¢/share

Market price1¢
Est. you pay1¢
Est. shares1250.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$13.25
Potential payout$1250.00
Potential profit$1240.00
Est. fee: $0.50 • Culture 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket
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Trade

$

≈ 1250.00 shares at 1¢/share

Market price1¢
Est. you pay1¢
Est. shares1250.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$13.25
Potential payout$1250.00
Potential profit$1240.00
Est. fee: $0.50 • Culture 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket