Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?

Last updated: …Volume: $3.1K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 6¢ wide — Yes is 56% implied.

$

≈ 17.54 shares at 57¢/share

Market price56¢
Est. you pay57¢
Est. shares17.54
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.42
Potential payout$17.54
Potential profit$7.54
Est. fee: $0.22 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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