Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

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Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Last updated: Volume: $123.0K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 23.3¢ wide — Yes is 51% implied.

$

15.90 shares at 63¢/share

Market price51¢
Est. you pay63¢
Est. shares15.90
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.38
Potential payout$15.90
Potential profit$5.90
Est. fee: $0.20 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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