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Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?

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Markets

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?

Last updated: …Volume: $101.48
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Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?View Event →
Central US (SPP)39%Midwest (MISO)19%Texas (ERCOT)6%Mid-Atlantic (PJM)16%California (CAISO)11%New England (ISO-NE)8%New York (NYISO)8%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market resolves "Yes" if PJM Interconnection declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) anywhere across its footprint from this market's creation through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. PJM serves all or part of Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and the District of Columbia; a qualifying declaration anywhere in that footprint counts, and "Mid-Atlantic" in the title is only a general label. A lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it. The declaration will be confirmed by any official PJM communication — its Inside Lines blog (https://insidelines.pjm.com/), emergency-procedure or market messages, or real-time system-status postings — or by credible national news reporting. It qualifies as long as the declaration itself happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".

Trade

$

≈ 62.50 shares at 16¢/share

Market price16¢
Est. you pay16¢
Est. shares62.50
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.64
Potential payout$62.50
Potential profit$52.50
Est. fee: $0.41 • Weather / Science 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

$

≈ 62.50 shares at 16¢/share

Market price16¢
Est. you pay16¢
Est. shares62.50
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.64
Potential payout$62.50
Potential profit$52.50
Est. fee: $0.41 • Weather / Science 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket