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Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?

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Markets

Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?

Last updated: …Volume: $1.2K
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Which bills will become law in 2026?View Event →
AI-chip export licensing34%Export-control chip security31%Data center utility cost protection23%NO FAKES Act22%Film/TV production expensing17%FISA Section 702 reauthorization15%Credit-card routing competition10%Critical-minerals stockpile9%
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes H.R. 7126 (119th) — “To establish a Strategic Resilience Reserve of the United States…” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade

$

≈ 100.00 shares at 10¢/share

Market price9¢
Est. you pay10¢
Est. shares100.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.59
Potential payout$100.00
Potential profit$90.00
Est. fee: $0.33 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

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Trade

$

≈ 100.00 shares at 10¢/share

Market price9¢
Est. you pay10¢
Est. shares100.00
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.59
Potential payout$100.00
Potential profit$90.00
Est. fee: $0.33 • Politics 4%

Paper trading only — no real money

View on Polymarket