Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?

Markets

Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?

Last updated: …Volume: $183.03
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status…
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 17¢ wide — Yes is 10% implied.

$

≈ 52.91 shares at 19¢/share

Market price10¢
Est. you pay19¢
Est. shares52.91
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.54
Potential payout$52.91
Potential profit$42.91
Est. fee: $0.20 • Politics 4%

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