Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?

Last updated: Volume: $33.1K
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Market Details

Condition ID
Status
OutcomesYes / No
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

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Prices shown are what you pay now. This book is 9.8¢ wide — Yes is 7% implied.

$

83.33 shares at 12¢/share

Market price
Est. you pay12¢
Est. shares83.33
Cost$10.00
Max cost (incl. fee + slippage)$10.66
Potential payout$83.33
Potential profit$73.33
Est. fee: $0.27 • Economics 5%

Paper trading only — no real money

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