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2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$312.8K Vol. · 13 outcomes

View on Polymarket
View on Polymarket
Outcome% Chance

Democrats 12-14%

$33.5K Vol.

56%
Buy Yes57.6¢Buy No46.4¢
Y57.6¢N46.4¢

Democrats 14-16%

$30.8K Vol.

25%
Buy Yes29.1¢Buy No78.7¢
Y29.1¢N78.7¢

Democrats 10-12%

$34.6K Vol.

6%
Buy Yes8¢Buy No96.5¢
Y8¢N96.5¢

Democrats 8-10%

$26.5K Vol.

6%
Buy Yes8.4¢Buy No97¢
Y8.4¢N97¢

Democrats 16%+

$28.1K Vol.

4%
Buy Yes6.2¢Buy No97.9¢
Y6.2¢N97.9¢

Democrats 4-6%

$22.4K Vol.

1%
Buy Yes1.6¢Buy No99.8¢
Y1.6¢N99.8¢

Republicans 2-4%

$33.1K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Democrats 0-2%

$27.1K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Democrats 2-4%

$26.6K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Democrats 6-8%

$24.9K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Republicans 0-2%

$11.8K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Republicans 4-6%

$6.7K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢

Republicans 6%+

$6.5K Vol.

0%
Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No100¢
Y0.1¢N100¢
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